A Partition and Interaction Combined Model for Social Event Popularity Prediction
Guandan Chen; Qingchao Kong; Wenji Mao; Daniel Zeng
2018
Conference NameIEEE Intelligence and Security Informatics (ISI) 2018
Conference Date2018.11.08-2018.11.10
Conference PlaceMiami, FL, USA
AbstractSocial media platforms make the spread of social event information quicker and more convenient. Some of these social events may become hot topics, which highlights the importance of event popularity prediction in public management, decision making and other security related applications. Due to the complexity of social event itself, it has two unique characteristics which most previous popularity prediction work has ignored: (1) the discussion of an event itself may consist of several components, e.g. different sub-events, different stances or different user communities; (2) the popularity of an event can be influenced by other related events. To address its unique characteristics, we propose an event popularity prediction model combining partition and interaction. We employ reinforcement learning to automatically partition an event into components and recognize related events. Then we predict event popularity by modeling component information and interactions between related events. Experimental results on a real world dataset show that our proposed model can outperform the competitive baseline methods.
KeywordPopularity Prediction Information Cascade Reinforcement Learning
Indexed ByEI
Language英语
Document Type会议论文
Identifierhttp://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/21798
Collection复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_互联网大数据与信息安全
互联网大数据与安全信息
Affiliation1.The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
2.The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
3.The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
4.The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Guandan Chen,Qingchao Kong,Wenji Mao,et al. A Partition and Interaction Combined Model for Social Event Popularity Prediction[C],2018.
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