An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic

CASIA OpenIR > 多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室 > 平行智能技术与系统团队

	An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic
	Cao ZhiDong1 ; Zeng DaJun1 ; Wang QuanYi 2; Zheng XiaoLong1 ; Wang FeiYue1
发表期刊	CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
	2010-04-01
卷号	55 期号:12 页码:1142-1149
文章类型	Article
摘要	This paper presents an empirical analysis of the epidemiological data concerning the 18445 HFMD-infected cases in Beijing in 2008. The main findings are as follows. (i) Seasonal variations in incidence were observed, with a peak observed during the summer season, especially in May. Male patients outnumber female patients by 1.57:1. (ii) Most cases occurred in children 4 years old or younger. Outperforming Weibull distribution and Gamma distribution as to model fitness when analyzing patient ages, log-normal distribution indicates that the estimated mean age is 3.4 years. (iii) The age distribution seems to indicate cyclic peaks with roughly one-year intervals. (iv) Correlation analyses (rho = 0.9864) show that time of birth in different months has an impact on the chance of being infected by HFMD. Birth month seems to present a high risk factor on infants and young children. (v) The morbidity rate is 132.7/100000 during the HFMD epidemic in Beijing in 2008. The morbidity map shows that the risks of HFMD infection in areas close to the city center and suburbans are much lower than those in the urban-rural transition zones. Spatial risks inferred from the morbidity map demonstrate a clear circular pattern. (vi) The prevention and control measures taken by the public health departments seem to be effective during the summer season, resulting in the early ending of the epidemic (one month earlier than the natural season) and reduced outbreak size.
关键词	Hand-foot-mouth Disease Epidemiological Analysis Spread Mechanism Risk Factor Morbidity Map Beijing
WOS标题词	Science & Technology
关键词[WOS]	DISEASE ; ENTEROVIRUS-71 ; TAIWAN ; FEATURES
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000276903500005
引用统计	被引频次：23[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/3548
专题	多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室_平行智能技术与系统团队
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, Key Lab Complex Syst & Intelligence Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing 100013, Peoples R China
第一作者单位	中国科学院自动化研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cao ZhiDong,Zeng DaJun,Wang QuanYi,et al. An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic[J]. CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,2010,55(12):1142-1149.
APA	Cao ZhiDong,Zeng DaJun,Wang QuanYi,Zheng XiaoLong,&Wang FeiYue.(2010).An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic.CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,55(12),1142-1149.
MLA	Cao ZhiDong,et al."An epidemiological analysis of the Beijing 2008 Hand-Foot-Mouth epidemic".CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN 55.12(2010):1142-1149.

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