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Equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines makes a life-saving difference to all countries | |
Ye, Yang1; Zhang, Qingpeng1; Wei, Xuan2; Cao, Zhidong3,4![]() ![]() | |
发表期刊 | NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
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ISSN | 2397-3374 |
2022-01-31 | |
页码 | 12 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng(qingpeng.zhang@cityu.edu.hk) ; Zeng, Daniel Dajun(dajun.zeng@ia.ac.cn) |
摘要 | Despite broad agreement on the negative consequences of vaccine inequity, the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines is imbalanced. Access to vaccines in high-income countries (HICs) is far greater than in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). As a result, there continue to be high rates of COVID-19 infections and deaths in LMICs. In addition, recent mutant COVID-19 outbreaks may counteract advances in epidemic control and economic recovery in HICs. To explore the consequences of vaccine (in)equity in the face of evolving COVID-19 strains, we examine vaccine allocation strategies using a multistrain metapopulation model. Our results show that vaccine inequity provides only limited and short-term benefits to HICs. Sharper disparities in vaccine allocation between HICs and LMICs lead to earlier and larger outbreaks of new waves. Equitable vaccine allocation strategies, in contrast, substantially curb the spread of new strains. For HICs, making immediate and generous vaccine donations to LMICs is a practical pathway to protect everyone. Using data-driven mathematical modelling that combines viral evolution with epidemiological dynamics, Ye et al. show that COVID-19 vaccine inequity leads to the emergence of new variants and new waves of the pandemic, while equitable allocation of vaccine doses reduces case counts and fatalities in all countries. |
DOI | 10.1038/s41562-022-01289-8 |
关键词[WOS] | INFLUENZA VACCINATION ; MODEL |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China[11218221] ; Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China[C7154-20GF] ; Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China[C7151-20GF] ; Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China[C1143-20GF] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71621002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72025404] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA27030100] ; Health and Medical Research Fund[COVID190215] |
项目资助者 | Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Health and Medical Research Fund |
WOS研究方向 | Psychology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Neurosciences & Neurology |
WOS类目 | Psychology, Biological ; Multidisciplinary Sciences ; Neurosciences ; Psychology, Experimental |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000749424100001 |
出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
七大方向——子方向分类 | 社会计算 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/47392 |
专题 | 多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室_互联网大数据与信息安全 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng; Zeng, Daniel Dajun |
作者单位 | 1.City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Data Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 2.Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Antai Coll Econom & Management, Shanghai, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.City Univ Hong Kong, Jockey Club Coll Vet Med & Life Sci, Dept Biomed Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 6.City Univ Hong Kong, Jockey Club Coll Vet Med, Ctr Appl Hlth Res & Policy Advice 1, Life Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China |
通讯作者单位 | 中国科学院自动化研究所 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ye, Yang,Zhang, Qingpeng,Wei, Xuan,et al. Equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines makes a life-saving difference to all countries[J]. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,2022:12. |
APA | Ye, Yang,Zhang, Qingpeng,Wei, Xuan,Cao, Zhidong,Yuan, Hsiang-Yu,&Zeng, Daniel Dajun.(2022).Equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines makes a life-saving difference to all countries.NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,12. |
MLA | Ye, Yang,et al."Equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines makes a life-saving difference to all countries".NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR (2022):12. |
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