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Abstract在市场经济的浪潮中,企业面临严峻的挑战。今天的企业要决胜千里,必 须抓住瞬息万变的信息并科学地加以利用,以此为根据随时发出调度指令,制 定生产和销售计划,调整市场策略。智能决策支持系统是决策支持技术和专家 系统的综合集成,它在企业中的应用,不仅提高了企业决策的效率和质量,同 时也提高了企业进行大量信息收集、分析、处理的能力,成为企业求生存和发 展的有效手段之一。 本文以国家“九五”攻关项目《钢铁企业综合自动化关键技术研究与示范 工程》的子课题《销售管理系统的设计与开发》为背景,结合在天津钢管公司 销售管理决策支持系统的原型系统开发中所遇到的一些理论和实际的问题进行 研究和开发,主要包括以下内容: 1、智能决策支持系统(IDSS)的研究。主要就IDSS的理论和集成结构等 方面的内容进行研究。IDSS是在决策支持系统(DSS)的基础上集成专家系统 (ES)而形成的,在本系统中采取“三库一体化”的结构形式较合理。 2、IDSS在销售管理中的应用。从理论的角度分析在销售管理系统中IDSS 的应用。销售管理IDSS主要包括合同技术可行性分析、最优交货期确定和合 理报价三个决策支持模块。 3、销售管理:IDSS原型系统的建立。从实际开发的角度原型系统的具体内 容,包括人机界面和各个部件的设计等。在嵌入式专家系统的设计中,作者认 为,概念集应当分为基本概念集和可扩展概念集。命题可以按树的思路进行分 解。这是本文创新之处。
Other AbstractThere are many austere challenges in the market economy. The base of success is to acquire the information and use it scientifically. IDSS is the integration of DSS and ES. Not only can it improve the efficiency of decision, also it can enhance the abilities of collection, analysis and management. It has been one of the effectual means of Success. The research background of this dissertation is Sales Management System, which is one of the subsystems of the National "Key-95" project---Research and Exemplifying Project of Key Integration Automation Technologies in Steel Industry. The dissertation is based on the research of theoretical and actual problems encountered in the process of developing the archetypal system of Sales Management IDSS. There are three main parts: 1, The research of IDSS. It emphasizes on the research of theory and integrating structure of IDSS. Based on DSS, IDSS is the combination of DSS and ES. Integration Three Bases is the reasonable structure of DSS. 2, Theoretical analysis of application of IDSS in Sales Management. Sales Management IDSS mainly includes three modules: Technique Feasibility Analysis of Order, Optimal Due Date and Reasonable Price. 3, The development of archetypal system of Sales Management IDSS. It includes the design of interface and other decision support modules. In the design of embedded ES, I put forward the innovation ideas in the classification of Concept Base and decomposition of Statement. Concept Base includes Basic Concept Base and Extensible Concept Base. And Statement can be broken down as a tree.
Keyword智能决策支持系统 决策支持系统 专家系统 销售管理决策支持系统 原型系统 三库一体化 概念集 命题 Intelligent Decision Support Systems (Idss) Decision Support Systems (Dss) Expert Systems (Es) Sales Management Idss Archety
Document Type学位论文
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
周长兵. 智能决策支持系统的研究及其在销售管理中的应用[D]. 中国科学院自动化研究所. 中国科学院自动化研究所,2000.
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