Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model

doi:10.3390/ijerph13030253

CASIA OpenIR > 多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室 > 平行智能技术与系统团队

	Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model
	Kong, Lingcai 1,2,3; Wang, Jinfeng 1,3,4; Han, Weiguo 5; Cao, Zhidong6
发表期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
	2016-03-01
卷号	13 期号:3
文章类型	Article
摘要	Mathematical models have been used to understand the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases and to assess the impact of intervention strategies. Traditional mathematical models usually assume a homogeneous mixing in the population, which is rarely the case in reality. Here, we construct a new transmission function by using as the probability density function a negative binomial distribution, and we develop a compartmental model using it to model the heterogeneity of contact rates in the population. We explore the transmission dynamics of the developed model using numerical simulations with different parameter settings, which characterize different levels of heterogeneity. The results show that when the reproductive number,
关键词	Infectious Diseases Heterogeneity Negative Binomial Distribution Homogeneous Mixing Mathematical Models
WOS标题词	Science & Technology ; Life Sciences & Biomedicine
DOI	10.3390/ijerph13030253
关键词[WOS]	ACUTE-RESPIRATORY-SYNDROME ; VACCINATION STRATEGIES ; NONLINEAR TRANSMISSION ; EPIDEMIOLOGIC MODELS ; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA ; DYNAMICS ; NETWORKS ; MEASLES ; ENVIRONMENTS ; IMPACT
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
项目资助者	MOST(2012CB955503 ; NSFC(41271404 ; 2012ZX10004-201) ; 41421001)
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000373528600070
引用统计	被引频次：11[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/12199
专题	多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室_平行智能技术与系统团队
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Key Lab Surveillance & Early Warning Infect Dis, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 4.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 5.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Visiting Scientist Programs, 3090 Ctr Green Dr, Boulder, CO 80301 USA 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kong, Lingcai,Wang, Jinfeng,Han, Weiguo,et al. Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2016,13(3).
APA	Kong, Lingcai,Wang, Jinfeng,Han, Weiguo,&Cao, Zhidong.(2016).Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,13(3).
MLA	Kong, Lingcai,et al."Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 13.3(2016).