Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model
Kong, Lingcai1,2,3; Wang, Jinfeng1,3,4; Han, Weiguo5; Cao, Zhidong6
2016-03-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
卷号13期号:3
文章类型Article
摘要Mathematical models have been used to understand the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases and to assess the impact of intervention strategies. Traditional mathematical models usually assume a homogeneous mixing in the population, which is rarely the case in reality. Here, we construct a new transmission function by using as the probability density function a negative binomial distribution, and we develop a compartmental model using it to model the heterogeneity of contact rates in the population. We explore the transmission dynamics of the developed model using numerical simulations with different parameter settings, which characterize different levels of heterogeneity. The results show that when the reproductive number,
关键词Infectious Diseases Heterogeneity Negative Binomial Distribution Homogeneous Mixing Mathematical Models
WOS标题词Science & Technology ; Life Sciences & Biomedicine
DOI10.3390/ijerph13030253
关键词[WOS]ACUTE-RESPIRATORY-SYNDROME ; VACCINATION STRATEGIES ; NONLINEAR TRANSMISSION ; EPIDEMIOLOGIC MODELS ; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA ; DYNAMICS ; NETWORKS ; MEASLES ; ENVIRONMENTS ; IMPACT
收录类别SCI
语种英语
项目资助者MOST(2012CB955503 ; NSFC(41271404 ; 2012ZX10004-201) ; 41421001)
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000373528600070
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/12199
专题复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Key Lab Surveillance & Early Warning Infect Dis, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
4.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
5.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Visiting Scientist Programs, 3090 Ctr Green Dr, Boulder, CO 80301 USA
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Kong, Lingcai,Wang, Jinfeng,Han, Weiguo,et al. Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2016,13(3).
APA Kong, Lingcai,Wang, Jinfeng,Han, Weiguo,&Cao, Zhidong.(2016).Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,13(3).
MLA Kong, Lingcai,et al."Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 13.3(2016).
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