Knowledge Commons of Institute of Automation,CAS
Reconstruction of the Transmission Chain of COVID-19 Outbreak in Beijing's Xinfadi Market, China | |
Luo, Tianyi1,2; Wang, Jiaojiao1; Wang, Quanyi3,4; Wang, Xiaoli3,4; Zhao, Pengfei1; Zeng, Daniel Dajun1; Zhang, Qingpeng5; Cao, Zhidong1 | |
发表期刊 | International Journal of Infectious Diseases |
2022-03 | |
卷号 | 116页码:411-417 |
摘要 |
Methods: We set up a transmission model, and the model parameters are estimated from the survey data via Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. Bayesian data augmentation approaches are used to account for uncertainty in the source of infection, unobserved onset, and infection dates. Conclusions: The statistical method of reconstruction of transmission trees from incomplete epidemic data provides a valuable tool to help understand the complex transmission factors and provides a practical guideline for investigating the characteristics of the development of epidemics and the formulation of control measures. |
关键词 | transmission chain data augmentation reconstruction COVID-19 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.01.035 |
语种 | 英语 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/48979 |
专题 | 多模态人工智能系统全国重点实验室_互联网大数据与信息安全 |
通讯作者 | Cao, Zhidong |
作者单位 | 1.Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 3.Beijing Research Center for Preventive Medicine, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 4.Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing 5.School of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR |
第一作者单位 | 中国科学院自动化研究所 |
通讯作者单位 | 中国科学院自动化研究所 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Luo, Tianyi,Wang, Jiaojiao,Wang, Quanyi,et al. Reconstruction of the Transmission Chain of COVID-19 Outbreak in Beijing's Xinfadi Market, China[J]. International Journal of Infectious Diseases,2022,116:411-417. |
APA | Luo, Tianyi.,Wang, Jiaojiao.,Wang, Quanyi.,Wang, Xiaoli.,Zhao, Pengfei.,...&Cao, Zhidong.(2022).Reconstruction of the Transmission Chain of COVID-19 Outbreak in Beijing's Xinfadi Market, China.International Journal of Infectious Diseases,116,411-417. |
MLA | Luo, Tianyi,et al."Reconstruction of the Transmission Chain of COVID-19 Outbreak in Beijing's Xinfadi Market, China".International Journal of Infectious Diseases 116(2022):411-417. |
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Reconstruction of th(1640KB) | 期刊论文 | 作者接受稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 |
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